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10Y Yield Continues to Consolidate Lower Ahead of NBH Meeting

HUNGARY
  • Hungary 10Y bond yield is down 20bps in the past week after reaching a local high of 3.22% last Tuesday, gradually approaching the 3% level.
  • The recent comments from NBH deputy governor (that Hungary should prepare for rate hikes) have generated a strong rally in HUF and increased the probability of an earlier hike this summer.
  • Support to watch on the downside on the 10Y stands at 2.84%, followed by 2.77% (50D SMA).
  • Next NBH policy decision is tomorrow (May 25 at 1300 London time); we expect the central bank to keep its interest rate steady at 0.6% with strong focus on inflation prints in the coming months.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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