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2-Year Yields Just About Print Fresh Multi-Month High

GILTS

The continued downdraft from yesterday’s BoC decision allows 2-Year Gilt yields to register a fresh multi-month high this morning (4.593%), with the cycle highs that stemmed from last year’s “mini-Budget” fiasco (4.729%) presenting the obvious focal point for bears. Note that Gilts have already moved off session cheaps.

  • We suggest that the feedthrough from the BoC’s hike probably shouldn’t be as pronounced for UK as it is for some other global FI markets, given that ~100bp of further tightening is priced into the BoE-dated OIS strip i.e. we aren’t near the end of the BoE’s tightening cycle in the market’s eyes.
  • Still, when there is a global cheapening impulse the UK’s funding reliance on the kindness of strangers means that Gilts are always susceptible to participating in such a move.

Fig. 1: 2-Year Gilt Yields (%)

Source: MNI - Market News

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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