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2s10s Touch Multi-Week Highs Ahead Of BOE, Important Data

US TSYS
  • Cash Tsys bear steepen, with the Asia-Pac cheapening/steepening impulse extending in early London trading before only a modest paring of losses.
  • The recent run of "Goldilocks" data out of the U.S., negative carry of flattener plays in an inverted curve scenario, BoJ YCC tweak, an element of apparent relatively long cash Tsy positioning and supply-related worries have seemingly factored into the latest run of steepening, which leaves 10+-Year yields at fresh YtD highs, while the 2s10s at -76bps and 5s30s curves run at multi-week highs (2s10s at -76bps off an earlier -74bps).
  • 2YY+2.7bp at 4.904%, 5YY +4.9bp at 4.286%, 10YY +6.5bp at 4.143% and 30YY +7.0bp at 4.245%.
  • TYU3 trades 13 ticks lower at 110-12+ off lows of 110-09+, as it moves close to the bear trigger at 110-05 (Jul 6 low) after which sits 109-14 (Nov 8, 2022 low). The moves have come with heavy cumulative volumes of almost 400k.
  • Data: ULC/productivity Q2 prelim (0830ET), Weekly jobless claims (0830ET), S&P Global service/composite PMI Jul final (0945ET), ISM services Jul (1000ET), Factory orders Jun (1000ET)
  • Fedspeak: Barkin on economy (0830ET)
  • Bill issuance: US Tsy $70B 4W, $60B 8W bill auctions (1130ET)

2s10sSource: Bloomberg

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