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2Y yields -30bps, USDCAD Holding Move Lower

CANADA
  • Post Q&A, 2Y GoC yields are now -30bp on the day as they doubled down through the presser instead of retracing the initial move lower.
  • That said, it only takes front-end yields back to Oct 5 levels, whilst a 10bp steepening in 2s10s pushes it to -55bps.
  • USDCAD meanwhile surprisingly holds 30 pips lower than just before the decision at ~1.355, within session ranges, as a more supportive equity backdrop helps offset a ballooning negative Can-US yield differentials.
  • Further moves towards the session low of 1.3508 could open key support at 1.3503 (Oct 4 low) after which lies the 50-day EMA of 1.3454.

USDCAD surprisingly reverses post-BOC jumpSource: Bloomberg

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