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2Y Yields Still On Course For Biggest Daily Rise Since Last Sept

UK

Some of the pressure on the UK short end / Sonia strip has abated since the post-CPI selloff this morning, with BoE Gov Bailey's appearance a non-event: 2Y yields are now up "just" 22bp, though had been up 28bp at one point. Still, a close at this level (4.36%) would mark the biggest one-day jump in 2Y yields since Sept 26, 2022 (see chart).

  • The curve remains very much bear flatter with 10Y yields up just 5bp.
  • BoE terminal Bank Rate pricing had been up as much as 40bp; now +33.7bp to 5.44% (94bp of further hikes left in the cycle, with peak hit either Nov or Dec), with 50bp hike potential remaining priced for June's meeting (30-31bp today, up 8-9bp).

2Y Yield 1 Day Change In bpsSource: BBG, MNI

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