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5Y CDS Surges to Prior Highs as Talks Falter During Belarus Military Drills

RUSSIA
  • Local & USD rates remain offered this morning with yields up +8-14bp in OFZs & 16-43bp in USD bonds as concerns over a potential war in Ukraine dent sentiment following signs of collapsing talks on Friday.
  • This was supplemented by a notably hawkish CBR guiding towards additional hikes in the pipeline to counter overheating risks – sending 2-3Y OFZ yields +36-49bp higher on the day.
  • Credit default swaps surged back to prior highs as war risk premia were repriced back into Russian assets on Friday after falling -78bp as talks allowed tensions to simmer from 25 Jan -10 Feb.
  • CDS volatility is notably high due to the full deployment of Russian troops in Belarus during ongoing drills until 20 Feb, after which Putin has promised they will return to Russia.
  • OFZ Curve w/w

    5Y CDS


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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