Free Trial

A$ Back To Mid-2020 Lows, Underperforms Against Safe Havens ​

AUD

AUD/USD spent much of the overnight session sub $0.7000, with the market happy to fade moves back above this level. We open this morning around $0.6950, levels last seen in mid-2020.

  • It was another classic risk off session overnight, equities weaker across the board, while the VIX index closed near 35%.
  • AUD/JPY slumped close to 2% and tracks just above the 50-DMA this morning (currently Y90.65, 50-DMA at Y90.58).
  • Commodities also suffered broad based losses, with the Bloomberg spot index down by 4.3%. This followed after Iron ore broke sub $130/tonne in the Asian time zone yesterday.
  • Yield differentials moved in favor of the A$, but that largely reflected a flight to safety in terms of USTs.
  • Today's busy data calendar includes CBA household spending indicator for April, the ANZ weekly consumer confidence, NAB business confidence for April and Q1 retail sales, which is a useful indicator for Q1 GDP, but quite backward looking at this stage (the market consensus is a +1% rise, after last quarter's 8.2% surge).
  • From a technical standpoint, MA studies are in a bear mode at the moment. Support at $0.6921 (the July 14 2020 low) could be eyed, then $0.6876 below that. On the topside, we couldn't get above $0.7020/0.7030 during yesterday's session, so this could be a focus point if seen today.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.