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A$ Falls Further During NY Session, Retail Sales Coming Up

AUD

Aussie underperformed the G10, except kiwi, initially declining on the weaker-than-expected May CPI print and then later as Fed Powell’s comments strengthened the greenback. AUDUSD is down 1.3% to 0.6599. It seems to have found some round number support around 0.6600 as breaks below haven’t been sustained. The intraday low was 0.6597, the lowest since late May. The USD index is 0.5% higher.

  • AUDUSD extended its reversal on Wednesday. It has broken through support at 0.6610, June 6 low, and 0.6562 is now open, the 76.4% retracement level. Initial resistance is at 0.6722, the 20-day EMA.
  • Aussie is down 1.1% versus the yen to 95.27. Given kiwi underperformance, AUDNZD rose 0.2% to 1.0869. AUDEUR fell 0.9% to 0.6047 and AUDGBP -0.4% to 0.5221.
  • Equity markets were mixed with the S&P down 0.04% and the Eurostoxx up 0.9%. VIX fell to 13.4%. Oil is higher with WTI up 2.2% to $69.21/bbl. Copper fell 1.5% and iron ore is lower at $112/t.
  • Today May retail sales print, which are forecast to rise 0.1%. There is also May job vacancies.

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