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CANADA DATA: A Mixed Retail Sales Report Doesn’t Alter Strong Recent Trend

CANADA DATA
  • Retail sales saw a mixed report today, with a surprise downward revision from 0.7% to 0.6% M/M for October values but with upward revisions to the three previous months including from 0.4% to 0.6% in September.
  • The November advance underwhelmed though, indicated “relatively unchanged” on the month.
  • Potential revisions aside, it currently leaves the 3M/3M run rate for nominal sales at 6.8% annualized in Nov, unchanged from the upward revised 6.8% in Oct vs the 6.0% previously thought.
  • Total sale volumes meanwhile were flat in October but it followed an upward revised 1.1% M/M in Sept for what was a third strong month. The 3M/3M rate was particularly firm at 9.0% annualized for its strongest since late 2021.
  • This recent strength comes prior to any impact from the GST/HST two-month holiday that started this month. 
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  • Retail sales saw a mixed report today, with a surprise downward revision from 0.7% to 0.6% M/M for October values but with upward revisions to the three previous months including from 0.4% to 0.6% in September.
  • The November advance underwhelmed though, indicated “relatively unchanged” on the month.
  • Potential revisions aside, it currently leaves the 3M/3M run rate for nominal sales at 6.8% annualized in Nov, unchanged from the upward revised 6.8% in Oct vs the 6.0% previously thought.
  • Total sale volumes meanwhile were flat in October but it followed an upward revised 1.1% M/M in Sept for what was a third strong month. The 3M/3M rate was particularly firm at 9.0% annualized for its strongest since late 2021.
  • This recent strength comes prior to any impact from the GST/HST two-month holiday that started this month. 
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