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Free AccessA Number of Factors Behind Sharp Move in Polish Rates Across Past Two Days
The Polish swaps curve has retraced sharply over the past two sessions, reflecting markets rushing to price in a more benign rates outlook from the NBP.
Factors behind the move include:
- Firstly, the smaller-than-expected NBP hike this week has driven expectations that the bank are close to the peak of their tightening cycle - this is something the bank had warned about in recent months, but markets looked through the warnings in light of considerable inflationary pressures.
- The government's decision to look more carefully into limiting the pass through of high energy prices to consumers. Few details were given, but the climate ministry is said to be discussing a wide range of different options.
- The government have also secured over 9mln tonnes of coal, that should go some way to displacing lost energy imports from Russia, helping stem prices which have surged as much as 150% on the year on a per MWH basis.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.