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Free AccessA$ Rebound Falters, AUD/USD Back To Low 0.6400 Region
AUD/USD more than reversed Wednesday's gain on Thursday, dipping close to 1%. The USD saw broad based gains with the BBDXY rising 0.40%. AUD/USD was weaker for the majority of the post Asia close on Thursday, falling from ~0.6490 to 0.6410/20 by the NY close. We currently track within this region.
- A firmer US yield backdrop, as some Fed speak indicated the need for higher for longer rates, aided the USD. The 2yr yield is back above 5.02%. Equity sentiment was weaker in US trade, the SPX down 1.35%, while the Nasdaq fell ~1.9%.
- Commodity indices were mixed, the aggregate Bloomberg index slightly higher, the base metals index down 0.62% for its first loss this week. Copper was weaker (-1.15% to $379 for CMX), while iron ore eased back to $112.50/ton post the Asia close.
- In terms of technicals, the AUDUSD trend remains bearish and the latest recovery appears to be a correction. Firm resistance is seen at the 20-day EMA - at 0.6518. On the downside, the Aug 17 low of 0.6365 is a bear trigger, a break through this level would open up 0.6285, the Nov 4 2022 low.
- The local data calendar remains empty, with July retail sales on tap next Monday.
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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.