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Free AccessA$ Recaptures 0.6600 Handle, As Lower US Yields Offset Weaker Commodities
From late Asia Pac lows near 0.6590, AUD/USD steadily recovered. By the NY session we were close to 0.6650, but track slightly lower in early Friday dealings (last near 0.6630/35). Broader USD sentiment was softer amidst a yield pull back, the BBDXY index fell 0.23%. AUD/USD rose 0.35% for Thursday's session.
- A combination of factors pushed US yields lower (cash Tsy benchmarks finishing off -5-7bps). Initial jobless claims were a touch higher than forecast, while Q1 GDP revisions saw lower US core PCE price index data and softer personal consumption. This aided the yield move lower.
- US equity sentiment was still weaker though, off 0.60% for the SPX, while commodity indices fell. The aggregate Bloomberg index off 1.39%, while metals declined 2.20%. Iron ore is back close to $115/ton in terms of the active SGX contract.
- For AUD/USD, lows from Thursday weren't too far off the 50-day EMA at 0.6585. On the topside, 0.6680 is the May 28 high, while 0.6714 (the high from the 16th) is the bull trigger.
- The local data calendar has April private sector credit on tap today (mkt forecast is for a 0.4% rise). Also note the official China PMI prints are due for May.
- Finally, note the following option expiries for NY cut later: $0.6600(A$975mln), $0.6700(A$507mln).
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.