Free Trial

Adds To Post-RBA Rally

AUSSIE BONDS

ACGBs are richer (YM +4.0 & XM +3.5), building on yesterday’s post-RBA decision rally, after US Tsys closed 7-14bp stronger after weaker than expected JOLT job openings and Factory Orders. Cash ACGBs opened 3-4bp stronger on the day and 5-8bp stronger from pre-RBA decision levels. The AU-US 10-year yield differential is at -12bp.

  • Swaps rates opened 4-5bp lower with EFPs slightly tighter.
  • Bills strip bull flattens with pricing +3 to +9.
  • RBA dated OIS has opened 1-3bp softer across meetings with the May meeting priced for a 19% chance of a 25bp hike. Year-end easing expectations are at 29bp.
  • Today's key events in the Antipodes will be the RBNZ Policy, which both market pricing and BBG consensus expecting a 25bp hike, and the address by RBA Governor Lowe at The National Press Club in Sydney. Lowe’s speech will provide an opportunity to gain a deeper understanding of the bank's perspective on the economy and the outlook for monetary policy.
  • Judo Bank Services and Composite PMIs are also slated for today.
  • Further afield, the global calendar is relatively light with highlights being European PMIs and German Factory Orders ahead of US ISM Services.
  • The AOFM is scheduled to sell A$800mn of the 2.75% 21 June 2035 bond today.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.