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Free AccessAfter a few sessions with a modicum....>
TURKISH LIRA: After a few sessions with a modicum of stability, spot TRY is
sharply underperforming again, with USD/TRY trading higher by just shy of 5% at
writing. This follows the sharp drawdown in TRY overnight swap rates (last down
at 41% after trading north of 1000% at some points this week), effectively
slashing the cost of initiating new shorts and liquidating long TRY positions.
Short-end TRY vols remain extremely elevated, with overnight USD/TRY vols
touching 202 vol points, easily the highest on record today. These measures are
likely to hold close to recent highs ahead of the weekend's local elections - a
key test of popularity for Turkey's Erdogan.
-Ahead of the NY crossover however, other EMFX is slightly more stable, with ZAR
only modestly lower and RUB, MXN and others standing their ground. This may be
(as Bloomberg points out this morning) a result of fund's VAR measures allowing
for greater ex-Turkey EMFX exposure now that they're finally able to unwind
their TRY positions at a reasonable cost.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.