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Although it started the week on a firmer.....>

AUSSIE
AUSSIE: Although it started the week on a firmer note, AUD/USD lost ground in
Monday's London hours and finished the day a handful of pips worse off. The
initial uptick was linked to China's pledge to crack down on IP theft, an
apparent attempt to move things forward in trade talks with the U.S. Limited by
Friday's high of $0.6803, the Aussie failed to hold onto its initial gains
albeit a brief penetration of the 61.8% retracement of the Oct bull mkt at
$0.6770 prompted a slight rebound into the close.
- With AUD/USD trading flat at $0.6776, bears look for a clean break under the
aforementioned $0.6770 level/Monday's low of $0.6768. This would shift focus to
the 76.4% retracement of the Oct rally at $0.6732. Meanwhile, bulls target the
mid-point of that rally/50-DMA at $0.6801/07, followed by the $0.6829 100-DMA.
- ANZ Roy Morgan weekly cons. conf. index printed at a four-year low today.
- RBA rhetoric headlines the local docket today, with RBA Dep Gov Debelle set to
speak in Canberra before the Bank's chief Lowe appears in Sydney. On the data
front, the focus falls on construction work done, capex and private sector
credit data, due on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday respectively.

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