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An eventful few hours of trading, mostly....>

US TSYS
US TSYS: An eventful few hours of trading, mostly responding to Trump threats to
North Korea and then counter-threats. There are also reports that North Korea
has managed to miniaturise a nuclear weapon.
- Stockmarkets are lower, gold higher, swissie and yen are well bid. All the
usual risk-off points are being touched. And, finally core global bond markets
are well bid.
- The US 10Y note is 2bp lower relative to the NY close but is leading the
movement on the yield curve, this is the reserved for the 7Y area.
- In France a vehicle drove into a group of soldiers in what looks like a terror
attack. Fortunately, there were no fatalities.
- Cash market activity is said to be limited and activity is very much
futures-led. The CTD into the TY, the 2.5% May-24 is performing particularly
well with a 2.5bp decline in yield.
- US swap spreads are slightly wider today as the weight of heavy corporate
(BAT) supply is lifted. The 5Y swap spread hit a new 6 week high. There is a 10Y
auction later today.

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