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Another gap lower

BUNDS
  • Continued collapse in Futures keep Global Yields elevated, with some stunning moves in the US following since the Retail Sales release.
  • Looking at US rates Markets, taking the March 2025 and June 2025 as an example, SFRH5 and SFRM5, these are at record lows for these expiries.
  • US Tnotes (TYZ3), and the 5% is also very close, circa 105.07 (also see chart).
  • Bund is off the low post cash open, but the Yield would have tested the October high and the next resistance noted at 2.958%, equated to 127.32 (6th Oct high).
  • Recall, the 3% level will be situated at 126.90 in Futures term, will be the next support to watch.
  • Resistance will be at 127.79 the opening gap.
  • It's another quiet day on the data front, with only US IJC, but the Globe will keep their Eyes on Yields and Rate markets.
  • SUPPLY: Spain 2s, 6s, 10s, France 3s, 4s, 5s, 7s. US sells $22bn of 5y TIPS.
  • SPEAKERS: ECB Valimaki, Visco, Fed Powell, Jefferson, Goolsbee, Barr, Bostic, Harker, Logan.

Chart source: MNI/Bloomberg

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