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Another Notably Different Day In BAX vs Eurodollars

CANADA
  • BAX yields climb as much as another 7bps higher in the Mar’23 contract today compared to the -3.5bps in Eurodollars, in more notable underperformance than the +0.3bps vs -2.0bps seen in sovereign bond yields.
  • Consistent with this, BoC-dated OIS now points to an overnight rate of 3.28% with the Dec meeting, above the 3% upper band of the Bank’s neutral range.
  • It’s unclear what the drivers are for this latest Can-US difference as last week’s BoC hawkishness should already be reflected, but it chimes well with MNI’s recent interview with an ex-BoC researcher on the need for restrictive policy.

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