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ANZ note that their "Global Market............>

FOREX
FOREX: ANZ note that their "Global Market Sentiment Index has improved
significantly over the past week, signalling that a lot of the dire outlook
baked into assets prices has been priced out. Having said that, the index is now
hovering close to the 'hope' threshold, suggesting the odds of a reversal are
slowly, but surely, increasing. The current run in risk appetite has failed to
benefit EM markets, while the rally in the USD has also taken a toll on emerging
market (EM) FX. Investors may have their reasons for being wary about the
outlook for EMs. Leading indicators for growth suggest momentum in the EM
economies has turned and, looking ahead, some further moderation is likely. The
change in major central banks' balance sheets usually presages lower flows to
EM; and we believe the ongoing expected decline in global liquidity will
continue to be a factor weighing on EM FX in the coming months."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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