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ANZ recommend buying AUDNZD: "In........>

AUSSIE-KIWI
AUSSIE-KIWI: ANZ recommend buying AUDNZD: "In itself the fact the AUDNZD is well
below our estimate of fair value does not necessarily provide a strong reason to
turn more bullish on this cross. Periods of misalignment can linger for some
time. However, we believe the risk-reward is now pointing more in the direction
of a corrective move higher. We see the potential that prices for whole milk
power - New Zealand's largest commodity export - will face a sterner test over
the next few GlobalDairyTrade (GDT) auctions. We also consider the approaching
New Zealand Q1 CPI release to be an interesting event, as risks look skewed
towards another soft outcome. That said, we acknowledge that the global trade
picture remains highly fluid, and the potential for further escalation in
protectionist fears remains, which could possibly lead to further AUD
underperformance. Therefore we think a relatively tight stop (1.0440) is
prudent."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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