Free Trial

ANZ Revise Inflation Forecast Higher

AUSTRALIA

Note that late on Tuesday ANZ “revised up inflation forecasts and expect annual inflation to peak in Q422. We see headline CPI getting to 7.4% Y/Y (previously 7.0% Y/Y) and trimmed mean reaching 5.6% Y/Y (previously 5.3% Y/Y). The sharp acceleration in price and cost growth in NAB’s July business survey suggests there is even more momentum than we had factored in. This is consistent with ongoing and widespread anecdotes of cost pass-through, including of the significant electricity and gas price increases that larger companies experienced in Q2. Near-term volatility is a risk given many key goods and services are at different points in this exaggerated price cycle. Fuel and some other commodity prices are coming down. In aggregate, we think quarterly inflation will continue at a rapid clip in H2 2022, albeit at a slower pace than at the peak earlier this year.”

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.