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Free AccessASIA/US/EUROPE BOND & STK RECAP: TSYS LOWER;O/NIGHT 2WAY FLOWS
US TSYS SUMMARY: Treasuries open NY weaker after overnight two-way flows
followed US post-FOMC rally. Tsy 1pm ET $28B 7Y auction. 10Y Tsy yld 2.3bp
higher at 2.305%; 2/10Y curve steeper, 5/30Y flatter by 0.60 bps.
- In TOKYO, Tsys saw initial buying in 2Y, 5Y by Asian central banks, real money
accounts, credit funds. Sources then cited large curve flattener via screens:
-13k FVU7 blocked at 118-04.25 vs +3k USU7 blocked at 153-09; others eyed cash
5/30Y flattener too. There was credit-tied selling in Tsys. JGBS end higher.
- In LONDON, Treasuries traded muted/slightly lower while EGBs and Gilts caught
up to Tsys. Tsys then slid to day's low on 10-yr Ultra futures block seller:
3,012 UXYU7 at 135-01+, then recovered on block buys in 5-yr and 10-yr futures:
3.35k FVU7 at 118-02.75 and 4.3k TYU7 at 125-27+. Bunds large block buy nr
162.29 resistance, peaked at 162.50. Data include wkly jobless claims and
durable goods.
- US CORPS: Today: AT&T US$ benchmark 5Y Fxd/FRN, 7Y, 10Y, 20Y, 32Y, 41Y coming;
up to $12B size; BNZ Intl Funding bd, Amex 5Y;
- O/N RP: Tsy 5Y tight; 2Y ebbs.
GILT SUMMARY: Gilts are trading higher helped by FOMC statement last night, but
are off session highest levels due to upbeat trade survey from UK retailers.
- The belly of the yield curve is outperforming with 5-yr gilt 3bp lower at
0.55%, while 10-yr is 2.6bp lower at 1.201% according to Tradeweb.
- Gilts opened higher thanks to a dovishly interpreted FOMC statement overnight
that seamed in no hurry to raise rates again, and would probably announce
balance sheet reduction in September.
- Gilts slipped from session highs however as latest CBI Distributive trades
survey found retailers reporting net sales balance at +22 up from +12 in June
and were optimistic for strong growth in August as well.
- Elsewhere, the press are highlighting possible delays in Brexit talks, with
Home Secretary Amber Rudd announcing a "detailed assessment" on the economic
impact of EU and EEA migration, which could take over a year to complete. While
the EU has warned that talks could be delayed by 2-months because of UK's
refusal to engage with Brussels over the Brexit bill.
- Swap spreads are between 1bp and 2bp wider, while breakevens are 2-3bp tighter
EGB SUMMARY: Bunds opened up strongly to follow the Treasury market rally in the
overnight session but then built quickly upon those gains as a Bund block
purchase came at an important resistance level of 162.29. Stop-losses then
propelled the contract to peak at 162.50.
- The yield curve has flattened by 3bp between 2 and 10Y and the 10Y Bund yield
has fallen 3.6bp on Thursday to 0.527%.
- All of the movement in yield has been in the real yield space despite the fact
that the euro appreciated strongly versus the dollar following the releases of
the FOMC minutes.
- Peripheral debt markets are largely keeping pace with developments in the
core. At one stage, the Bund-Bonos spread widened to above 100bp but is back
below at 98.7bp. Also, the BTP market has outperformed the core slightly. -
Economic data saw Eurozone M3 rise 5.0% Y/Y as expected and even the details
were largely unexciting.
- Ahead of a heavy US earnings calendar, the European earnings calendar was
frenetic but has left stockmarkets mixed.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.