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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China May Inject CNY1 Trln To Replenish Big Banks
MNI BRIEF: China Sees Progress On EU EV Deal
ASIA/US/EUROPE BOND & STK RECAP:TSYS SLIDE ON US CPI,BOE/GILTS
US TSYS SUMMARY: UPDATE: Treasuries declined on 0.4% Aug. CPI and 0.2% core
CPI; 10Y yield his 2.222% by 8:32am ET.
US TSYS SUMMARY: Treasuries slid in early NY, extending overnight weakness
as UK BOE had unchanged mon pol but majority saw near-term hike expected. Next
up is US August CPI: MNI survey had 0.3% median estimate and 0.2% core CPI
median.
- TOKYO: Tsys paid little notice to further N.Korea saber-rattling (N.K. said
would "sink" Japan, reduce US to "ashes". But mkt did notic China slowing
expansion indicated by retail sales, investment spending and industrial
production. Japan's Nikkei stock index and China's Shanghai, HKG's Hang Seng
index all ended lower. Tsys had better bid and light deal-tied hedging.
- LONDON: German Bunds drew dip buying, while Tsys bought too as cash 10-year
note earlier neared 2.20%; 10Y is now back there at 2.209% after early NY slide
on UK factors. Early selling in Tsys 2y, 10Y while bank portfolio selling
occurred in belly. Gilts initially spiked on unchanged BOE pol, but then slid as
mkts digested hawkish MPC mins.Tsys hit new session lows thus. Tsy 10Y futures
saw big block sale of 11,833 at 126-13.
- OVERNIGHT REPO: Tsy 3Y, 7Y, 10Y tight esp. 10Y; 5Y loosens.
- US SWAPS: Mildly wider.
- US EURODLR FUTRS: Mildly lower; early buy 10K Mar'18/Jun'18, 0.060%.
GILTS: Dec Gilt future initially spiked 45 ticks in knee-jerk reaction to BoE
voting 7-2 to keep rates unchanged, but very quickly reversed gains and spiked
to session low (a swing of 99 ticks) as markets digested the hawkish MPC
minutes. Dec Gilt last 42 ticks lower at 125.67.
- UK DATA: BOE MPC Vote 7-2 To Keep Bank Rate Unchanged -BOE: McCafferty,
Saunders Vote for 25bp Rate Hike As In Aug Meeting -BOE: MPC Vote 8-0 To Keep
Corporate Bond, Gilt Stocks Unchanged -BOE Majority: Some Tightening Appropriate
Over Coming Months -BOE: Policy May Need To Be Tightened More Than Assumed By
Yield Curve
- Gilts before BOE news uietly and steadily reversed earlier opening lower move,
underpinned by possible unwinding of some hawkish risk to Bank of England
monetary policy decision and MPC minutes. 30-yr -0.8bp at 1.796% according to
Tradeweb.
- Gilts opened lower, with yield seen 1.3bp higher a ross the curve, seen
weighed ahead of Bank of England monetary policy decision and release of MPC
minutes, with markets increasingly pricing in a hawkish meeting and risk of a
6-3 vote for unchanged rates.
- There also appeared to be a 2-/10-year swap steepener trade go through in at
least 100k DV01 - However Gilts recovered from session low as the markets
appeared to be slowly unwinding this risk ahead of BoE decision at 1100GMT. -
There was some decent early flow in front-end of the short sterling strip with
buying in Sep7 offset by selling
EGB SUMMARY: Bunds declined with UK Gilts on BOE factors. Bunds earlier dragged
themselves up off the floor as EGBs overcome supply and no doubt some of
tomorrow's massive redemptions are beginning to get reinvested.
- One ongoing theme is Catalan independence, which has led to quite considerable
underperformance of Spanish debt in recent weeks and is featuring again this
morning. The 10-Year Spanish spread to Germany is 3bp wider and its
underperformance has also begun to pull the BTP market lower.
- The German 10Y yield is lower by around 0.3bp but the better demand is in the
5Y section of the curve.
- Interest in linker markets has increased and spreads between European and
French breakeven curves is moving after newspaper leaks on Tuesday picked up
that the French Livret A rate might remain stable for 2 years.
- Ireland successfully sold debt and the conclusion of the auction prompted an
instant 0.75bp contraction in the 10Y Bund-Irish spread.
- Looking ahead, policy makers and Eurogroup politicians are gathering in
Estonia for a meeting.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.