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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: Japan Q3 Capex Up Q/Q; GDP Revised Lower
MNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
ASIA/US/EUROPE BOND & STOCK RECAP: TSYS SEE BEAR FLATTENING
US TSYS SUMMARY: US Treasuries have a bear flattening going on, with 30Y
well outperforming the shorter maturities amid flatteners in the 2/30y, 2/10Y
and 2/5Y and also 5/30Y and 5/10Y curves into today's 11:30am ET US 2Y note
auction and 1pm ET 5Y auction. Tsys also aided most recently by softer US$/yen
and by firming German Bunds. NYMEX oil weaker.
- TOKYO: Tsys began steady/weaker with 10-yr note clinging to a 2/32 range
until drifted lower into UK session. Two-way trading occurred in fronts to
intermediates, while Asian accts sold 10Y notes, and end user sold long end.
Asian stocks declined: Japan's Nikkei stock index ended off 0.25%, while China
stock indexes declined across the board, continuing the recent choppy trend. Mkt
traders eyed rumors of an early withdrawal of BOJ stimulus.
- LONDON: Tsys drifted lower until the day's low hit about 5am ET, amid bear
flatteners, while fast$ and specs did mixed flows in 5s and 10s. More recent bid
in long end likely following German Bund lead. Large 22.9k TYH Block 124-24
helped move to upside.
- US SWAPS: Mildly tighter.
- US EURODLR FUTURES: Whites/Reds mildly weaker; firmer LIBOR rates.
- US HIGH-GRADE CORPORATE BONDS: Heavy issuance expected this week and next week
too; today brings UBS AG/Ldn 18M FRN/3Y/3Y FRN and Orix 7Y benchmark note.
Alibaba Grp Hldg sets investor calls Nov. 27-28 ahead of expect US$5B-$7B bond
deal.
- OVERNIGHT REPO: Tsy 5Y note remains tight; 2Y, 7Y, 10Y mildly bid.
GILT SUMMARY: Gilts improved after earlier trading steady to slightly lower
ahead of NY session, with little data seen to direct markets. Yield curve is
ever so slightly steeper as the long-end underperforms.
- UK 10-yr Gilt yield is -0.2 bps at 1.246.
- Gilts open slightly higher, more than likely on the back of Brexit uncertainty
as EU President Tusk said it will be an uphill struggle for the UK to meet
'enough progress' to move talks onto the next stage with the Irish boarder being
a particular contentious issue.
- 30-yr breakeven rate widened quickly this morning as last weeks tightening
move, supported by large IL Gilt redemption and coupon payments, faded. However
they have seen given up some of the widening move to now be +0.9bp at 3.437%.
- Meanwhile swap spreads are modestly tighter across the board with the 15-yr
seen leading the move.
- Markets might see some reaction to BoE Haldane comments this afternoon as he
makes a speech on education and communication strategy at 1430GMT
EGB SUMMARY: German Bunds have improved. EGB markets earlier demonstrated some
fairly random movements today: the Bund contract shot up from the getgo to
163.05, falling to 162.76 and then rallying again to just above 163.00.
- Early on, the biggest flows were in the Schatz contract and we have noted some
good and consistent paying flows in the 2Y and 5Y tenors of the EUR swap curve.
- Economic data has been limited to the Italian November economic sentiment
index, which came in weak at 108.8 from 109.1.
- Italian paper has been well bid and the Bund-BTP spread is 2.4bp tighter at
142.7bp. Portuguese paper is also tightening but Spanish debt is lagging a
little. With the Catalan election on Dec 21, there is an understandable
reticence while fresh polls point to a Parliament with no overall control. Irish
debt is stable despite a strong possibility of government collapse.
- The German 10Y yield is -1.2 bps at 0.346% Monday. Volumes are not impressive.
- Last week saw short-dated German paper underperform swaps quite considerably
but this weakness is not evident today.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
To read the full story
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.