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Atlanta Fed Wage Tracker Slowly Moderated In May, Led By Job Switchers

US DATA
  • Released unusually late yesterday, the Atlanta Fed wage tracker for May showed overall wage growth moderating very slightly from 6.1% to 6.0% Y/Y.
  • The move came with further but mild compression in the excess job switchers have been commanding over job stayers at 6.8 from 6.9% Y/Y vs an unchanged 5.7% Y/Y.
  • Aside from February’s 1.0, the 1.1pp gap between the two is the lowest since Jan’22.
  • However, the relative stickiness of job stayers in the 5-6% Y/Y range over the past year suggests overall wage growth might struggle to break below this as froth subsides, at least for now.

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