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AUD/JPY: Highest Level Since Mid March, RBA In Focus

AUD

AUD/JPY has rallied ~4.5% off 2023 lows seen in late March printing its highest level since March 14. Yesterday's rally saw the cross firm above its 20-Day EMA (¥89.08) before meeting resistance above ¥90.

  • Softer US Treasury yields and technical flows in AUD/USD helped, while the 50-Day EMA was breached, signaling scope for a stronger short term recovery. These factors saw the AUD outperform yesterday.
  • Whilst the technical trend is bearish, having broken above the 20-Day EMA, bulls now target the 200-Day EMA (¥91.11) to turn the tide.
  • Bears target a break of ¥88 handle to target 2023 lows at ¥86.06.
  • At today's meeting the RBA is expected to hold the cash rate steady at 3.6%, the MNI preview is here.

Fig 1: AUD/JPY Daily Spot, EMAs


Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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