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AUD/JPY: Resistance At 200-Day EMA

AUD

The pair fell ~0.5% yesterday after meeting resistance at the 200-Day EMA on Tuesday as weaker commodities, Bloomberg Commodity Index fell ~1.1%, and US equities, S&P was down ~0.6%, weighed on the AUD.

  • AUD/JPY now sits at ¥90.75/85, since breaking above the 20-Day EMA in early May the measure has provided support with the pair unable to sustain breaks of the 200-Day EMA the pair remains well within recent ranges.
  • Bulls first target is the 200-Day EMA (¥91.24), a break through here opens the high from 2 May at ¥92.44.
  • Bears immediate focus is on 20-Day EMA (¥90.41), with ¥89.16 the low from May 4 providing the next support level.
  • On the wires today we have the preliminary print of Q1 GDP from Japan, the market expects annualized growth of 0.8% in q/q terms, versus 0.1% prior.
  • Also scheduled to cross is Q1 Wage Price Index from Australia. The market looks for a 0.9% q/q outcome (forecast range is 0.8-1.1%), versus a prior 0.8% outcome. Y/Y is projected at 3.6% versus 3.3% prior.

Fig 1: AUD/JPY Daily Spot, EMAs

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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