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AUD/USD was pressured by the slightly........>

AUSSIE
AUSSIE: AUD/USD was pressured by the slightly softer than expected headline AU
CPI release overnight, last dealing just shy of $0.7400, after a brief look
below the 50% retracement of the move from $0.7360 to $0.7434 ($0.7397), with
the next level of support noted at yesterday's low ($0.7360).
- With lower tier AU data due over the next week or so focus turns to the RBA's
next MonPol decision, on 07 August, with all of those surveyed thus far looking
for the RBA to leave its cash rate unchanged at 1.50%.
- Today's inflation print is unlikely to alter the RBA's steady hand approach.
As a reminder the RBA's view is that "inflation is low & is likely to remain so
for some time," however, its central forecast is "for CPI inflation to be a bit
above 2.0% in 2018." The IB strip prices a circa 20% chance of a 20bp hike by
the end of May 2019.
- FX option expiries of note at today's 10 AM NY cut: $0.7300(A$705mn),
$0.7400(A$680mn)
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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