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AUD was one of the major beneficiaries.......>

AUSSIE
AUSSIE: AUD was one of the major beneficiaries from the weekend's U.S.-China
trade "truce," and broader improved risk appetite on Monday.
- Rate last deals at $0.7357, virtually unchanged in early dealing. Bulls
ultimately need a break of $0.7400 to build on recent momentum, an area which
also combines the congestion zone seen in Jun-Aug and the 200-DMA which
currently comes in at $0.7416. Initial support noted at $0.7316, the technical
gap from Nov 30.
- RBA MonPol decision provides the focal point of the docket today. Not much
expected in terms of fireworks as the Bank confronts a backdrop of a tightening
labour market, limited inflation & wage growth, moderating house prices in some
of the major AU cities and the global trade war backdrop. All of those surveyed
expect the Bank to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.50% at its final decision
of 2018. Markets currently pricing a ~65% chance of the Bank remaining on hold
through Sep 2019 according to BBG WIRP function.
- AU current account data also due today ahead of tomorrow's GDP print.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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