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Free AccessAussie Snaps Losing Streak As CPI Beat Adds Pressure On RBA To Act
Better than expected consumer inflation figures pushed AUD/USD higher in Wednesday's Sydney trade, but the rate reversed gains into the European session. It still eked out some marginal gains come the end of the day, snapping a four-day losing streak.
- The release of inflation data prompted hawkish RBA repricing ahead of next Tuesday's monetary policy review. Markets are currently pricing ~18bp worth of tightening at the upcoming Board meeting.
- Complicating the RBA's job is the ongoing federal election campaign, which sees inflation coming to the fore, as political leaders are trying to prove their economic management credentials.
- Shadow Treasurer Calmers noted that rising living costs will be the "legacy of Scott Morrison's economic mismanagement," while the PM said that he would not be worried by a cash rate rise next week.
- AUD/USD changes hands at $0.7122, a touch lower on the day. Bears look for a break below $0.7101, which limited losses on Wednesday. This would clear the way to key near-term support from Feb 24 low of $0.7095. Bulls look to a break above Monday's high of Apr 25 high of $0.7261, which would expose the 50-EMA at $0.7332.
- Australian terms of trade and factory-gate inflation data will be published today and tomorrow respectively.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.