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AUSTRALIA VIEW: *** Bank views on today's RBA........>

AUSSIE-YEN TECHS, AUSTRALIA VIEW
AUSTRALIA VIEW: *** Bank views on today's RBA MonPol Decision (2/2):
- RBC: We expect another steady interest rate verdict of 1.5% with a firmly
neutral bias intact. Since the board last met, key domestic data have been mixed
with a disappointing Mar labour force report highlighting a weakening employment
trend and softer housing data but a bounce in Feb retail sales and core
inflation creeping slightly higher in Q1 to almost 2%. None of this is likely to
shift the RBA's base case for a return to above trend growth and within target
inflation. We expect the post meeting statement and SoMP to strike a generally
positive tone although it may be tempered by the acknowledgement of some recent
moderation in employment generation and softer housing data.
- Westpac: The RBA Board will leave rates unchanged at their May meeting. The
Governor has stated that: "further progress in reducing unemployment and having
inflation return to target is expected, although this progress is likely to be
gradual". The case for patience has been reinforced by recent data.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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