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Australia Will No Longer Boast The Lowest Official Rate By End-2024

STIR

STIR markets within the $-bloc remain poised for a significant easing cycle in 2024, although the trajectory appears to be marginally less (10-15bps) assertive than what was reflected in late-December pricing.

  • The US and Canada are the only $-bloc markets now with expectations of a greater than 100bp reduction in policy rates by year-end.
  • Australia stands out as an outlier, with less than two 25bp cuts factored in by December 2024.
  • Interestingly, it is projected that Australia will no longer boast the lowest official rate within the $-bloc by the conclusion of 2024.

Figure 1: $-Bloc STIR



Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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