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Free AccessBack Above $1.1800
EUR/USD prints 15 or so pips higher into London hours, hovering around the $1.1805 mark. This comes after the rate traded lower again Wednesday against a backdrop of broader USD strength and solidified the break of the Jul 2 low ($1.1808), tagging a low of $1.1782 in the process.
- The publication & press conference surrounding the findings of the ECB's strategy review headline the broader docket on Thursday, with the event announced late on Wednesday. The findings will hit at 13:00 CET (12:00 London), followed by a press conference hosted by President Christine Lagarde and Vice President Luis de Guindos at 14:30 CET (13:30 London). A BBG source report has suggested that "policy makers have agreed to raise their inflation goal to 2% and allow room to overshoot it when needed, according to officials familiar with the matter. The decision marks a significant change from the previous target of "below, but close to, 2%," which some policy makers felt was too vague."
- On top of the aforementioned ECB events we will also get the release of the accounts of the Bank's June meeting and comments from governing council member de Cos.
- From a technical perspective the outlook remains bearish, with focus on key support at the Mar 31 low ($1.1704). Conversely, initial resistance is seen at the Jul 6 ($1.1895), although key short-term resistance is defined at the Jun 25 high ($1.1975).
- Notable FX option expiries at today's 10AM NY cut include: $1.1685-00 (EUR1.3bn), & $1.1930-50 (EUR1.9bn), although they are some distance from current spot levels.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.