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Bank Desk Views On Today's BoK MonPol...>

SOUTH KOREA
SOUTH KOREA: Bank Desk Views On Today's BoK MonPol Decision:
- ANZ: We exp. policy rate unch. Concerns about financial stability risks, which
were the main driver of the BoK's rate hike last Nov, have eased. A challenging
growth outlook & benign inflation suggest the BoK is likely to keep its policy
rate on hold throughout '19.
- Barclays: We expect the BoK to stay on hold & its tone is likely to remain
cautious. The bank will probably attempt to balance its rhetoric by highlighting
a possible positive outcome from US-China trade talks, improved sentiment in
financial markets and slower Fed normalisation potentially mitigating some
downside risks to the economy. But ongoing weakness in exports and the soft
labour market are likely to keep most members' stance cautious.
- BofAML: We expect the BoK to keep the policy rate at 1.75% after the hike in
Nov '18. We continue to expect the BoK to keep the policy rate on hold for the
rest of '19 as (1) policy focus seems skewed to the fiscal side (2) slowing
domestic economy at an expected pace (3) muted inflation due to supply side
factors (4) sluggish labor market, which could call for a supplementary budget.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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