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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessBank month-end preliminary models. - Citi's...>
FOREX: Bank month-end preliminary models.
- Citi's month-end FX hedge rebalancing model suggests moderate selling of USD
on Tuesday, 30th April. With the exception of USDJPY selling, the signal
measures just over the 0.5 historical standard deviations in all crosses. Our
estimated signal to sell USD is predominately driven by equity investor
rebalancing needs. This is due to the positive US equity market performance
leaving foreign investors under hedged on their equity assets. The signal to buy
GBPUSD is strongest at 0.78 standard deviations, owing to the outsized decline
in UK Government bonds fuelling the need to buy back GBP hedges.
- Barclays note a prelim run of their model points to USD selling against major
peers. The signal is strong against all peers but JPY, for which the signal is
moderate. Equity markets printed gains across majors, with risk sentiment
supported by accommodative core central bank policy, seemingly constructive
US-China discussions and global growth stabilizing in key regions. The
outperformance of US equities and bonds produces a strong USD sell signal.
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.