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Banks Jan-May Total Profits Down 9.5% YoY

TURKEY
  • January-May total profit for Turkish banks was down 9.5% from the same period a year earlier according to recent data published by banking regulator (BBG). The NPL ratio stood at 3.69% in May.
  • We recently saw that the elevated political and economic uncertainty combined with the high 'staff turnover' have been weighing on both the TRY and Turkish equities in recent months.
  • Turkish equities are the cheapest among the EM world based on our 'value scoring model', which ranks EM equities market based on the price-to-book, price-to-sales and price-to-earnings ratios.
  • Turkish financials remain a distressed sector with a P/B ratio of 0.45 and a PE ratio of 4.12 (vs. 1.06 and 7.65, respectively, for MSCI Turkey Index).
  • Financials stocks (MXTR0FN Index) have been retracing slightly lower in recent days, gradually approaching their 2,200 support line; a break below that level would open the door for a move down to 2,164 (50DMA). On the topside, resistances to watch are 2,305 (100DMA) and 2,329 (61.8% Fibo of the 1,856 - 3,095 range).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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