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Banxico Revise Inflation Forecasts Up & Retain Guidance, USDMXN Sells Off

MEXICO
  • Link to Banxico statement: https://www.banxico.org.mx/publications-and-press/...
  • Retains prior guidance: "It considers that, in order to achieve an orderly and sustained convergence of headline inflation to the 3% target, the reference rate must be maintained at its current level for some time."
  • Higher inflation forecasts lending support to the peso with USDMXN trading from around 17.33 to 17.20 in the aftermath of the decision. Worth noting USDMXN had been fairly resilient to the broad dollar weakness post-FOMC and this may be assisting the move lower.
    • From the statement: " However, current forecasts incorporate a more gradual decline in both food merchandise inflation and services inflation. For this reason, the forecasts for headline and core inflation have been revised upwards for some quarters."
  • Updated inflation forecasts here:

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