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BAX Futures Pause For Breath

CANADA
  • BAX yields finally pause for breath having cranked higher in recent weeks, with the Dec’22 yield of 4.225% currently unchanged at yesterday’s close which happened to exactly equal the prior cycle closing high from Jun 14 just ahead of the FOMC’s first 75bp hike.
  • Yields are seen broadly stable through the Mar’23 before seen to invert at an increasingly slow pace:
  • a small 2bp push higher for the Dec’23 helps continue to chip away at BAZ2/BAZ3 inversion to now -0.305 from -0.750 at the end of July in a broadly similar retracement to that seen in Eurodollars on the prospects of higher rates for longer.

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