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BBG Story On Policymaker Surveys Lends Modest Support

CNH

USD/CNH sheds around 100 pips as BBG source reports note that “China’s regulators are stepping up scrutiny of currency trading and cross-border capital flows,” having a shallow look below CNH7.2500.

  • The piece went on to note that “the PBoC and SAFE have asked exporters, importers and banks about money flows and hedging demand, while seeking views on the yuan and trading sentiment,” while suggesting that “SAFE had also asked for suggestions to stabilize the currency, with a submission deadline of just a few days.”
  • This comes after RTRS reports of USD/Yuan sales from state banks and an increased bias towards yuan strength in the mid-point fixing (relative to the BBG survey median) in recent days, as policymakers appear at least mildly concerned with the velocity of the recent run of yuan weakness.
  • A quick reminder that our policy team’s most recent piece on the matter flagged that “the PBoC is expected to curb any sharp weakness in the yuan should a stronger-than-expected fixing for the onshore CNY fixing fail to slow its depreciation,” based on conversations with traders and policy advisors.
  • The yuan continues to struggle, with USD/CNH moving to the highest levels seen since late ZCS times in recent sessions as the impact of carry, the negative run of recent Chinese economic data and an unfavourable policy mix weigh on the currency.

Fig. 1: USD/CNH

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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