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Better than forecast US data............>

EURO-DOLLAR
MNI (London)
EURO-DOLLAR: Better than forecast US data (continuing weekly claims and durable
goods) provided another boost for risk via equity market performance which
provided the lift to take rate through resistance at $1.1060, the moved helped
in part by suggested demand emerging into the 1600BST fix, with stops also
suggested to have been fired off. Rate has extended its recovery to $1.1090,
with an initial 1.618% swing projection target noted close by at
$1.1093($1.1008-1.0871). Further resistance expected into $1.1100, a break here
to expose the Mar30 high of $1.1163. Month-end approach Friday with preliminary
model calls for USD sales to be seen. Before, when we have had expectations for
such flows, and EUR/USD has moved the day ahead, it often leads to a sharp
reversal during the European morning(long squeeze) before see the expected USD
sales emerge into the key 1600BST fix.
- France and EZ CPI due Friday but risk outlook and month-end flows to drive.
Support $1.1035/30, $1.0990, 
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com

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