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Biden Leading Trump For First Time Since Early May, Morning Consult

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A new Morning Consult survey has found President Biden leading former President Trump (44%-43%) for the first time since early May.

  • Morning Consult notes several key contributing dynamics: “This is the sixth successive week in which Biden’s net favorability rating has bettered Trump’s … a trend that began as legal proceedings in New York ramped up.
  • “The uptick [in immigration buzz], which came in the wake of Biden’s move to restrict migrant access to asylum claims at the U.S. border, brought net buzz for immigration to -31 points — the best mark since late November.
  • “… the kind of information voters reported hearing about the [Israel-Hamas war] has improved over the past week amid news coverage of a potential cease-fire deal — though it remains predominantly negative.”

Figure 1: Tracking the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

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A new Morning Consult survey has found President Biden leading former President Trump (44%-43%) for the first time since early May.

  • Morning Consult notes several key contributing dynamics: “This is the sixth successive week in which Biden’s net favorability rating has bettered Trump’s … a trend that began as legal proceedings in New York ramped up.
  • “The uptick [in immigration buzz], which came in the wake of Biden’s move to restrict migrant access to asylum claims at the U.S. border, brought net buzz for immigration to -31 points — the best mark since late November.
  • “… the kind of information voters reported hearing about the [Israel-Hamas war] has improved over the past week amid news coverage of a potential cease-fire deal — though it remains predominantly negative.”

Figure 1: Tracking the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

Keep reading...Show less