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Biggest cut on record not enough...>

EMERGING MARKETS
EMERGING MARKETS: Biggest cut on record not enough to dent TRY
-TRY was the firmest currency across EMFX following the mammoth 425bps cut to
their one-week repo rate. While the slashing of interest rates exceeded
consensus the forecasts were flimsy at best, with the street looking for even
larger cuts. This left the 100- and 50-dma resistance levels in USD/TRY
untouched at 5.7725 and 5.8047 respectively, which remain the first targets for
USD/TRY bulls. The rate cut today was also not enough to deter those looking for
decent carry, with CIBC re-affirming their long TRY/JPY trade recommendation.
-Elsewhere, ZAR sits weaker as Moody's issued a broadly negative judgement on
the government's plans for Eskom, with the new funding blueprints seen worsening
the deficit materially. USD/ZAR broke above 14.00 to hit the week's highs on the
news.
-Focus turns to the Central Bank of Russia rate decision Friday, with the
majority of analysts eyeing a 25bps rate cut after last year's tightening
successfully tamed inflation.

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