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Free AccessBiggest cut on record not enough...>
EMERGING MARKETS: Biggest cut on record not enough to dent TRY
-TRY was the firmest currency across EMFX following the mammoth 425bps cut to
their one-week repo rate. While the slashing of interest rates exceeded
consensus the forecasts were flimsy at best, with the street looking for even
larger cuts. This left the 100- and 50-dma resistance levels in USD/TRY
untouched at 5.7725 and 5.8047 respectively, which remain the first targets for
USD/TRY bulls. The rate cut today was also not enough to deter those looking for
decent carry, with CIBC re-affirming their long TRY/JPY trade recommendation.
-Elsewhere, ZAR sits weaker as Moody's issued a broadly negative judgement on
the government's plans for Eskom, with the new funding blueprints seen worsening
the deficit materially. USD/ZAR broke above 14.00 to hit the week's highs on the
news.
-Focus turns to the Central Bank of Russia rate decision Friday, with the
majority of analysts eyeing a 25bps rate cut after last year's tightening
successfully tamed inflation.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.