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$-Bloc Markets Soften Further Relative To This Time Last Week

STIR

STIR markets across the $-bloc have softened over the past week, with the US outperforming and Australia underperforming.

  • Year-end official rate expectations have declined by 18bps in the US, 11bps in New Zealand, 9bps in Canada, and 5bps in Australia.
  • The US shift was triggered by last Friday’s weaker-than-expected Employment Report.
  • In New Zealand, dovish sentiment followed the release of benign RBNZ inflation expectations data.
  • Meanwhile, Australia's more modest softening reflected the RBA’s relatively hawkish stance at this week’s policy meeting, where the possibility of a rate hike was explicitly discussed.


Figure 1: $-Bloc STIR (%)



Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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