Free Trial

BMO: Above Consensus But PPI Beat Could Limit Reaction

US OUTLOOK/OPINION
  • BMO note that expectations for headline CPI are toggling around a non-descript headline rise of 0.3% M/M, which would clip the annual inflation rate to roughly 7.3% Y/Y.
  • The risk is for a slightly meatier core result of 0.4% M/M, only shaving the annual pace a tick to 6.2% Y/Y.
  • Given a mild high-side surprise on the PPI, markets would likely readily digest this outcome, and move on to the Fed the next day, but the past two years have certainly taught us to never take the CPI for granted.
  • With beats the norm since early 2021, it would be an important development if the U.S. managed a second consecutive low-end result. Suffice it to say, we doubt that will be the case, especially for core.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.