Free Trial

BoA on NBP, Policy Rate Could Reach 8% by Year-End

POLAND
  • The loose macro policy mix is set to persist until the 2023 elections, despite clear evidence of above-potential growth and prolonged inflation overshooting.
  • The pro-government NBP may bring the policy rate to 6.75% by July and will probably attempt to stop the hiking cycle there.
  • But with substantial negative ex-post and ex-ante real rates, BoA thinks the PLN will come under depreciation pressures, forcing further rate hikes later in the year, probably towards 8% by year-end.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.