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BoE Hike Pricing Regains Ground, ECB Hits Week High On Solid CPI

STIR

BoE and ECB hike pricing picked up Thursday

  • ECB terminal depo Rate pricing +2.4bp to 3.99% (50bp of further hikes left in the cycle). Terminal pricing had its highest close since Jun 22, with Spanish and German June inflation data today pointing toward a eurozone-wide figure Friday that will be in line or perhaps slightly above consensus (notwithstanding the Dutch and French prints preceding it tomorrow).
  • BoE terminal Bank Rate pricing +7.4bp to 6.26% (126bp of further hikes left in the cycle). Spurred on by above-expected US GDP and below-expected US jobless claims data in the afternoon, peak BoE pricing hit a fresh closing high for the cycle, reversing most of Wednesday's 9bp decline. UK GDP data arrives first thing Friday, with a 50bp BoE August hike priced at around 84%.



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