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Free AccessBOE MPC: Policy On Hold; Chances of Disorderly Brexit Decreased>
-BOE MPC Voted 9-0 for Unchanged Bank Rate at Dec Meeting
-BOE MPC Voted 9-0 for Unchanged QE Stock at Dec Meeting
LONDON (MNI) - The Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee voted
unanimously to leave policy unchanged at its December meeting, stating
that economic data since its November meeting had been limited and
mixed, the minutes of its meeting ending December 13 showed.
The MPC said that progress in the first phase of talks over the UK
leaving the European Union made a disorderly Brexit less likely, which
should support business and consumer confidence.
Near term, the MPC saw signs of weakness in the fourth quarter, but
its big picture of subdued growth with inflation drifting back towards
the 2% target was unchanged.
The MPC offered no commentary on current market expectations, with
no advice over the likelihood of a hike in coming months. Looking
forward, however, the MPC said that future hikes in Bank Rate would be
warranted "over the next few years" should the economy follow the path
set out in the Bank's November Inflation Report.
The MPC's central projections are conditioned on the assumption
that businesses and consumers will assume that there will not be a
disorderly Brexit - one that sees the UK crash out without any deal with
the EU.
The minutes said that developments in the Brexit talks, with
progress to the second phase now likely, "would reduce the likelihood of
a disorderly exit and was likely to support household and corporate
confidence."
The November Budget, which eased the pace of fiscal tightening, was
seen supporting activity.
It "contained some upside news for aggregate demand," the minutes
said.
Bank staff estimated that it would boost GDP by around 0.3% over
the BOE's three year forecast period and would add 0.1 point to CPI.
The minutes showed that the Bank believed the reaction to the MPC's
November 25 basis point hike was subdued, with reactions in line with
previous policy moves and that survey evidence showed that the public
accepted the case for higher interest rates and believed that they were
likely to rise further.
-London newsroom: e-mail: david.robinson@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$$BE$,MT$$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.