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BoE On Deck

GBP

The broader USD gyrations were in the driving seat on Wednesday, with the weaker than expected U.S. ADP print allowing cable to extend to fresh session highs, before the ISM services/Fed Vice Chair combo applied pressure for the remainder of NY trade, as the rate closed just off worst levels.

  • The cross managed to press as low as $1.3878 overnight, just above Monday's low, before recovering to trade a handful of pips higher at $1.3895 into London hours.
  • Our technical analyst notes that the recent move above the 50-day EMA strengthens the current corrective recovery, signalling scope for gains towards $1.3990 next, a Fibonacci retracement. This lies ahead of a key short-term level at $1.4001, the Jun 23 high. A failure ahead of these resistance points would suggest the end of the current correction. First support is at the 20-day EMA.
  • There is nothing in the way of notable FX options expiries to be concerned with come today's 10AM NY cut.
Today's BoE MPC meeting has the potential to be a key event for the market. Voting dynamics surrounding the Bank's asset purchase facility will be eyed. However, the sequencing review will potentially be much more significant. The MNI Markets team thinks the most likely change to the sequencing guidance will be to remove the Bank Rate threshold altogether, and leave maximum flexibility to the MPC.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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