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BoE Pricing Little Changed On The Session, No Real Domestic Drivers to Note

STIR

Much like the ECB equivalent, BoE-dated OIS is little changed on the day. Last running flat to 1bp firmer.

  • Local headline flow has been dominated by the record (still sub-GBP5bn) usage of the BoE’s short-term repo facility, although this seems to be a function of arbitrage opportunities.
  • The impulses out of Japan and softer-than-expected German industrial production data have provided more meaningful headline flow/market moves.
  • BoE pricing initially adjusted higher before core global FI stabilised and removed some of the JGB-derived weakness.
  • BoE pricing remains within familiar territory after the dovish adjustment seen in recent times, which in itself was mostly facilitated by cross-market moves. November’s dovish extreme re: total BoE cuts for ’24 remains untested.
BoE MeetingSONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp)
Dec-235.208+2.1
Feb-245.218+3.0
Mar-245.158-3.0
May-245.062-12.6
Jun-244.941-24.6
Aug-244.784-40.3
Sep-244.644-54.4
Nov-244.488-69.9
Dec-244.362-82.5
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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