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BoE Terminal Pricing Set To Drop For 6th Day In 7

STIR

The wind has been coming out of the sails of BoE hike pricing so far in August, with the futures-implied peak rate set to decline today for the 6th session in 7.

  • Today the implied terminal rate is down 3.2bp to 5.72% (47bp of further hikes left in the cycle to Feb 2024), the lowest since Jun 12.
  • Terminal pricing actually picked up a couple of basis points after the soft US CPI release, but has since pulled back.
  • 20bp is priced for the September meeting, with the next data point of note being UK GDP out first thing Friday morning.

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